2016 Montana gubernatorial election

2016 Montana gubernatorial election

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout74.44%Increase2.26
 
Nominee Steve Bullock Greg Gianforte
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Mike Cooney Lesley Robinson
Popular vote 255,933 236,115
Percentage 50.2% 46.4%

Bullock:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gianforte:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No votes

Governor before election

Steve Bullock
Democratic

Elected Governor

Steve Bullock
Democratic

The 2016 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Montana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Bullock won re-election to a second term in office with 50.3% of the vote, defeating Republican challenger Greg Gianforte. Less than a year later, Gianforte won a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives, and in 2020 was elected governor.

In the concurrent presidential election, Democrat Hillary Clinton lost Montana by more than 20%, with Bullock thus over-performing her vote share by more than 14% and her margin of defeat by more than 24%.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Mike Cooney, incumbent lieutenant governor
  • Running mate: Mike Anderson

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Bullock (incumbent) 109,450 91.3%
Democratic Bill McChesney 10,486 8.7%
Total votes 119,936 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Niki Sardot

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Greg Gianforte

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Gianforte 109,882 76.4%
Republican Terry Nelson 33,987 23.6%
Total votes 143,869 100.0%

Third parties

Independent

Declared

  • Christopher Zarcone

Libertarian

Declared

  • Running mate: Ron Vandevender, perennial candidate

Withdrew

  • Ron Vandevender, perennial candidate

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Greg Gianforte
Governors
State officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Organazations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D August 12, 2016
Daily Kos Lean D November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report Lean D November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean D November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics Lean D November 1, 2016
Governing Tossup October 27, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Bullock (D)
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Ted
Dunlap (L)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 449 ± 4.6% 44% 46% 7% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 410 ± 4.6% 45% 44% 8% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 403 ± 4.6% 46% 46% 7% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 376 ± 4.6% 48% 43% 7% 2%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 385 ± 4.6% 51% 41% 7% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 405 ± 4.6% 53% 39% 7% 1%
Mason-Dixon October 10–12, 2016 1,003 ± 3.2% 47% 45% 2% 6%
Montana State University Billings October 3–10, 2016 590 ± 4.0% 44% 32% 3% 20%
Hypothetical polling
with Ryan Zinke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Bullock (D)
Ryan
Zinke (R)
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing February 24–25, 2015 1,035 ± 3% 44% 44% 11%
Gravis Marketing November 24–25, 2014 836 ± 3% 41% 49% 10%
with Tim Fox
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Bullock (D)
Tim
Fox (R)
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing February 24–25, 2015 1,035 ± 3% 46% 38% 16%
Gravis Marketing November 24–25, 2014 836 ± 3% 41% 45% 14%
Public Policy Polling July 20–22, 2013 741 ± 4% 46% 43% 11%

Results

2016 Montana gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Steve Bullock (incumbent) 255,933 50.25% +1.35%
Republican Greg Gianforte 236,115 46.35% -0.99%
Libertarian Ted Dunlap 17,312 3.40% -0.36%
Total votes 509,360 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

This page was last updated at 2023-10-11 02:02 UTC. Update now. View original page.

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