2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas
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Turnout | 38.39% | ||||||||||||||||
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Boozman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Eldridge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arkansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator John Boozman won re-election to a second term in office, becoming the first Republican senator reelected in the history of the state. Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge was the only Democrat to declare his candidacy. The primaries were held March 1. This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican Senate candidate and a Republican presidential candidate.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- John Boozman, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Curtis Coleman, businessman, candidate for governor in 2014 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Boozman |
Curtis Coleman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College | February 4, 2016 | 457 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 23% | 9% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 298,039 | 76.45% | |
Republican | Curtis Coleman | 91,795 | 23.55% | |
Total votes | 389,834 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
Conner Eldridge was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
Candidates
Declared
- Conner Eldridge, former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 214,228 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 214,228 | 100.00% |
Third parties
The Libertarian Party of Arkansas held a special nominating convention on October 24, 2015, to select nominees for elections in 2016. Frank Gilbert was selected as the nominee for the U.S. Senate race.
Candidates
Nominated
- Frank Gilbert, DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in 2014
General election
Candidates
- John Boozman (R), incumbent senator
- Conner Eldridge (D), former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas
- Frank Gilbert (L), DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in 2014
Debates
Dates | Location | Boozman | Eldridge | Gilbert | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
October 12, 2016 | Little Rock, Arkansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
Daily Kos | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Boozman (R) |
Conner Eldridge (D) |
Frank Gilbert (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 930 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 798 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 696 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 43% | — | — | 1% |
SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 593 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 43% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 475 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 46% | — | — | 2% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 484 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 44% | — | — | 2% |
University of Arkansas | October 18–25, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 61% | 38% | — | 1% | — |
Talk Business/Hendrix College | October 21, 2016 | 463 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 34% | 4% | 2% | 8% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College | September 15–17, 2016 | 831 | ± 3.4% | 55% | 29% | 5% | 3% | 8% |
Emerson College | September 9–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | 44% | 30% | — | 11% | 15% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College | June 21, 2016 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 29% | 6% | — | 14% |
- with Mike Beebe
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Boozman (R) |
Mike Beebe (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 1–3, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | 40% | 46% | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2014 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 39% | 49% | — | 12% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College | June 8–11, 2015 | 1,183 | ± 1.84% | 37% | 45% | — | 18% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 661,984 | 59.77% | +1.87% | |
Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 400,602 | 36.17% | -0.78% | |
Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 43,866 | 3.96% | +0.72% | |
Write-in | 1,070 | 0.10% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 1,107,522 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |