2016 United States Senate election in New York
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Schumer: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90% Long: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in New York State |
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The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28. As of 2023, this is the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a fourth term in office. This was considered by many polling aggregate groups to be one of the safest Democratic seats in the nation for this cycle. The prediction turned out to be correct, with Schumer winning around 71% of the vote and all but 5 of the state's 62 counties: Hamilton, Orleans, Wyoming, Allegany and Steuben.
As of 2022, this is the latest election where Jefferson, Oswego, Delaware, Schoharie, Herkimer, Genesee, Wayne, Livingston, Yates, Schuyler, Chemung, Tioga, Lewis and Chenango counties voted Democratic.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. Senator
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Wendy Long, attorney and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012
Declined
- Richard L. Hanna, U.S. Representative
- Larry Kudlow, economist, television personality and columnist
- Adele Malpass, Chairwoman of the Manhattan Republican Party and wife of 2010 Senate candidate David Malpass
Third-party and independent candidates
Libertarian Party
- Alex Merced, activist
Green Party
- Robin Laverne Wilson
Conservative Party
- Wendy Long, attorney and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012
General election
Debates
Dates | Location | Schumer | Long | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 30, 2016 | Schenectady, New York | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Al D'Amato, former U.S. Senator from New York, 1981-1999 (Republican)
- Media Companies
- Advance Media New York Editorial Board
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
Daily Kos | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Schumer (D) |
Wendy Long (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,208 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 25% | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 2,132 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 25% | — | 4% |
Siena College Archived June 3, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | November 3–4, 2016 | 617 | ± 4.5% | 67% | 25% | — | 8% |
SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,949 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 26% | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,755 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 26% | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,645 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 27% | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,734 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 28% | — | 4% |
Siena College Archived March 11, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | October 13–17, 2016 | 611 | ± 4.6% | 66% | 27% | 1% | 6% |
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist | September 21–23, 2016 | 676 | ± 3.8% | 70% | 24% | 1% | 6% |
Siena College Archived January 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | September 11–15, 2016 | 600 | ± 5.0% | 69% | 23% | — | 8% |
Emerson College | August 28–30, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 60% | 23% | 4% | 12% |
Siena College | August 7–10, 2016 | 717 | ± 4.3% | 63% | 24% | — | 13% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | July 13–17, 2016 | 1,104 | ± 3.0% | 60% | 28% | 1% | 8% |
Siena College | June 22–28, 2016 | 803 | ± 4.0% | 66% | 23% | — | 11% |
Siena College Archived January 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | May 22–26, 2016 | 825 | ± 3.9% | 64% | 22% | — | 14% |
Siena College Archived March 3, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | April 24–27, 2016 | 802 | ± 4.1% | 64% | 24% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2016 | 1,403 | ± 2.6% | 55% | 23% | — | 22% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | March 22–29, 2016 | 1,667 | ± 2.4% | 63% | 24% | — | 11% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chuck Schumer | 4,784,218 | 64.72% | +6.25% | |
Working Families | Chuck Schumer | 241,672 | 3.27% | -0.73% | |
Independence | Chuck Schumer | 150,654 | 2.04% | -1.82% | |
Women's Equality | Chuck Schumer | 45,401 | 0.61% | N/A | |
Total | Chuck Schumer (incumbent) | 5,221,945 | 70.64% | +4.31% | |
Republican | Wendy Long | 1,723,920 | 23.32% | -3.65% | |
Conservative | Wendy Long | 267,622 | 3.62% | -1.62% | |
Reform | Wendy Long | 17,813 | 0.24% | N/A | |
Total | Wendy Long | 2,009,355 | 27.18% | -5.03% | |
Green | Robin Laverne Wilson | 113,413 | 1.53% | +0.61% | |
Libertarian | Alex Merced | 48,120 | 0.65% | +0.11% | |
Total votes | 7,392,833 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |